{"id":19257,"date":"2015-10-12T11:48:03","date_gmt":"2015-10-12T10:48:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/?p=19257"},"modified":"2015-10-12T15:44:04","modified_gmt":"2015-10-12T14:44:04","slug":"dell-buying-emc-is-the-daftest-thing-ive-heard-in-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/?p=19257","title":{"rendered":"Dell Buying EMC Is The Daftest Thing I&rsquo;ve Heard In Years"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last week I wrote a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.petri.com\/dell-rumored-merger-talks-emc\" target=\"_blank\">story<\/a> for Petri.com about the rumours of Dell buying EMC. Today, the <a href=\"www.nytimes.com\/2015\/10\/12\/business\/dealbook\/dell-to-buy-emc-for-65-billion-a-record-takeover-in-technology.html\" target=\"_blank\">New York Times<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2015-10-12\/dell-said-set-to-reveal-emc-purchase-monday-at-about-33-share\" target=\"_blank\">Bloomberg<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/fortune.com\/2015\/10\/08\/dell-emc-merger\/\" target=\"_blank\">Fortune<\/a> all have stories saying that an announcement could be released as soon as today. The purchase could cost as much as $65 billion.<\/p>\n<h2>Perspective<\/h2>\n<p>Let me paint you a picture. Let\u2019s say I have a mortgage on a house, and the balance of that mortgage is \u20ac110,000. And to get that loan, I had to get funding from several banks. I\u2019m doing OK, but my savings are small every month. Then I decide I want to buy a second home, and I need a loan of \u20ac650,000. After some analysis, it\u2019s decided that the value of the second house is dropping and will never recover. What do you think the bank will say to my application?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>I have a debt already<\/li>\n<li>My savings are small &#8211; indicating that servicing larger debts would be a challenge<\/li>\n<li>I want a huge loan in addition to the one I already have<\/li>\n<li>If it all goes crash-bang-wallop, selling the second house will not recoup the \u20ac650,000.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>You don\u2019t have to be a financial wizard to figure out that the bank will run me out of their office.<\/p>\n<p>And that\u2019s the position Dell is in right now, with around $11 billion in debt, and possibly now looking for an additional $65 billion.<\/p>\n<p>[EDIT] We later found out that the figure will be $67 billion. What&#8217;s $2 billion between friends &#8211; let&#8217;s ask Microsoft &#8230;<\/p>\n<h2>EMC<\/h2>\n<p>This storage giant was once a huge force, but their best days (the 1990\u2019s and 2000\u2019s) are behind them. That\u2019s why EMC has been shopping themselves to anyone that will take a call &#8211; I declined last Monday. EMC faces huge challenges:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>HP and Dell bought their way into enterprise storage. It cost Dell lest than $1 billion to get Compellent. These companies offer integrated solutions via a single vendor, which EMC (storage only) cannot do.<\/li>\n<li>New arrivals have arrived on the scene with innovative and often more flexible\/affordable solutions.<\/li>\n<li>There are no SANs in the cloud. Enterprises are moving to the cloud, where software-defined storage based on commodity hardware (JBODs, SAS, SATA, NVMe) are the rule. RAID-based SANs are just too expensive and don\u2019t scale well.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Dell &amp; EMC<\/h2>\n<p>I don\u2019t get why Dell wants to buy the Nokia of storage. They\u2019d be picking up a huge company, with a shrinking presence. Sure, EMC has lots of corporate customers, but isn\u2019t this acquisition an expensive as this.<\/p>\n<p>Dell already has $11-$12 billion of debts from their privatisation. And now someone, some financial genius, is going to give Michael Dell another $65 billion to buy a failing storage company?<\/p>\n<p>Dell is one of the companies killing EMC. Dell already has EquaLogic and Compellent SAN storage. Dell partners with Nutanix, one of those new arrivals. And Dell has solutions for software-defined storage.<\/p>\n<h2>VMware<\/h2>\n<p>EMC owns 80% of VMware, a very healthy company. Until a week ago, there were theories that VMware would acquire their parent, EMC! If Dell acquires EMC then they get 80% of VMware. Could that be the goal? if it is, then it might back fire.<\/p>\n<p>Here is the server market share for Q2, 2015 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.idc.com\/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS25861515\" target=\"_blank\">according to IDC<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/image44.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none; margin-left: auto; display: block; margin-right: auto; border: 0px;\" title=\"image\" src=\"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/image_thumb44.png\" alt=\"image\" width=\"300\" height=\"288\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Do you think that HP, IBM, Lenovo, or Cisco would be happy to partner with Dell on virtualization and private cloud? I sure don\u2019t! I think we\u2019d see more momentum for source cloud in Fortune 1000s and the Microsoft stack. Acquiring VMware would be not as rewarding as Dell might think &#8211; VMware was probably already concerned about the threat of public (Google, Microsoft, AWS) cloud and open source private cloud, and marginalization through acquisition\u00a0 by the #2 server vendor would not help.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe Dell has promised his backers that he\u2019ll sell EMC\u2019s shares in VMware. That might help finance the $65 billion loan. But that leaves Dell just with the EMC portfolio, one that was once great, but has little place in a new world.<\/p>\n<p>Watch this story develop. In two years, we could be reading about one of the biggest corporate write-downs in tech history.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last week I wrote a story for Petri.com about the rumours of Dell buying EMC. Today, the New York Times, Bloomberg, and Fortune all have stories saying that an announcement could be released as soon as today. The purchase could cost as much as $65 billion. Perspective Let me paint you a picture. Let\u2019s say &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/?p=19257\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Dell Buying EMC Is The Daftest Thing I&rsquo;ve Heard In Years&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":19259,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[180],"class_list":["post-19257","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-hardware","tag-hardware"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/emc-corp-logo1.png","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19257","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19257"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19257\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19262,"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19257\/revisions\/19262"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/19259"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19257"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19257"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aidanfinn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19257"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}